Showing posts with label Editorial. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Editorial. Show all posts

Friday, October 7, 2011

07/10 POINT OF VIEW/ Zhong Wei: China to become regional power, not global power



2011/10/07

photoZhong Wei (Provided by Nomura Research Institute)photoTakeshi Jingu (Provided by Nomura Research Institute)
The relative importance of the Chinese economy and currency has increased further in the wake of the global financial crisis.
China's 12th five-year plan (2011-15) seeks to accelerate the transition in the nation's economic development model, which has long been an issue of concern. Moves to establish the renminbi as a global currency have also picked up over the last two years.
What kinds of changes can we expect in the Chinese economy going forward, and how powerful is it really?
Takeshi Jingu, general manager of the Financial Systems Research Division of Nomura Research Institute (Beijing), spoke with Zhong Wei, who serves as professor and director of the influential Finance Study Center of Beijing Normal University and is a leading macroeconomic and monetary policy researcher.
* * *
Jingu: Today, I would like to ask you about the long-term outlook for Chinese economic growth. Could we begin with your views on the current state of the Chinese economy?
Zhong: Real growth in the first half of 2011 was 9.6 percent on a year-over-year basis, exceeding predictions that it would be no more than 9.5 percent. Such high growth is unacceptable given how restrictive economic policy is and will probably lead to further tightening in the second half. In particular, I expect tougher structural adjustments in the form of controls over energy consumption and emissions.
Jingu: Some are predicting an easing of policy in the second half.
Zhong: That is unlikely to happen. I forecast 9.0-9.2 percent growth in the second half and 9.4 percent for the full year, which is still high.

07/10 EDITORIAL: It's time to put fears about TPP to rest

2011/10/07
One important trade policy question facing the government is whether Japan should participate in talks on a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement.

Nine Pacific Rim countries, including the United States and Australia, are currently engaged in negotiations with an eye to striking a deal on an outline of the agreement in November.

This target date sets a timeframe for Japan to decide whether to join the TPP talks.


Thursday, October 6, 2011

06/10 TPP 参加が日本の成長に不可欠だ(10月6日付・読売社説)

日本の成長戦略を推し進めるため、政府は新たな自由貿易圏となる環太平洋経済連携協定(TPP)への参加を早期に決断すべきだ。

「例外なき関税撤廃」を原則とするTPPの締結に向け、米国や豪州など9か国が、11月のアジア太平洋経済協力会議(APEC)での大枠合意を目指している。

TPPの基本的枠組みが日本抜きで固まれば、将来、日本が参加する場合、不利なルールであっても受け入れざるを得なくなる。

経団連の米倉弘昌会長がAPECまでの参加表明を政府に促しているのは、そのためだ。


Wednesday, October 5, 2011

05/10 TPP参加―丁寧な説明で再起動を

環太平洋経済連携協定(TPP)の交渉に日本も加わるかどうか。米国や豪州など参加9カ国は11月の大枠合意を目指しており、日本にとってもここが判断の節目となりそうだ。

私たちは、まず交渉に参加するよう主張してきた。TPPは成長著しいアジア太平洋地域の自由化の土台となる可能性がある。日本が不利にならないためには、ルール作りからかかわった方が得策だ。交渉に加わり、国益に沿わないと判断すれば協定締結を見送ればよい。

政府は「6月に参加の是非を決める」としてきたが、東日本大震災もあって遅れている。その間、TPPについて様々な懸念が広がった。検討作業を軌道に乗せるには、今の交渉状況について政府が情報を整理・発信し、冷静に議論できる環境を整えることが第一歩となる。


Friday, September 9, 2011

09/09 Law revisions necessary to halt maritime intrusions

The Yomiuri Shimbun

There is no end of trouble with China over Japan's territorial waters. To protect our territorial waters, it is necessary to review the relevant laws and improve the monitoring system.

One year has passed since a Chinese fishing boat collided with two Japan Coast Guard vessels in Japanese waters near the Senkaku Islands in the East China Sea.

The administration of then Prime Minister Naoto Kan fell into disarray over how to deal with the issue and was later criticized for shirking its responsibility. The new administration under Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda needs to take more sufficient measures.

The JCG has compiled a report on how the nation's maritime policing authority should be adjusted to better deal with such incidents.

A key point is a revision of the relevant law that would empower the JCG to promptly issue expulsion orders to foreign fishing boats and cargo ships illegally entering Japan's territorial waters.

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Expedite expulsions

Under the present law concerning the navigation of foreign vessels in Japanese waters, it is necessary for the JCG to make an on-the-spot inspection of a vessel before issuing an expulsion order. This requirement would make it extremely difficult for the JCG to act swiftly if a large number of vessels entered the nation's territorial waters simultaneously.

The report recommended studying the idea of empowering the JCG to issue expulsion orders without on-the-spot inspections to vessels that it strongly suspects of having intruded into territorial waters.

In addition to taking into custody those involved in illegal acts, emphasis should also be placed on preventing intrusions in the first place, the report noted.

As long as such illegal acts as those involving Chinese trawlers or vessels of other countries are expected to increase, it is reasonable to revise the relevant laws.

The report also concluded that it is necessary to swiftly update the JCG's equipment to reinforce the monitoring system for such areas as those near the Senkaku Islands.

As long as the present situation continues, in which about one-quarter of its patrol vessels are out of date, it is impossible for the JCG to control Chinese fishing boats, which are being upgraded and sail faster.

In addition to the points noted by the report, there are many other issues that need to be addressed.

It is essential to reinforce cooperation and improve joint drills between the JCG and the Self-Defense Forces, which attach great importance to the protection of the Nansei Islands.

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Diplomatic constraints

Also to be tested is the diplomatic power of the Japanese government. This is because under international law the government cannot use the same enforcement methods against foreign government ships, such as China's fishing patrol vessels and maritime research ships, that it uses against private vessels.

Late last month, two Chinese fishing patrol vessels entered Japanese territorial waters near the Senkaku Islands. It is only natural that the Japanese government lodged a protest with China about this provocative act. It is necessary for Japan to point out China's faults every time such an act occurs, to urge China to restrain itself.

It is also important for Japan to make efforts to boost its effective control over its own territorial waters. One such measure, for instance, would be to conduct meteorological observations at the Senkaku Islands regularly.

In a soon-to-be-published monthly magazine, Noda writes, "To protect integral parts of Japan, we must say what must be said and take what actions must be taken."

Appropriate preparations concerning the territorial issues will enhance the people's trust in the new administration.

(From The Yomiuri Shimbun, Sept. 8, 2011)

(Sep. 9, 2011)

Wednesday, July 6, 2011

06/07 米軍のアジア関与を支えよ

2011/7/6付

 財政難に苦しむオバマ米政権は国防予算を大きく削ろうとしている。そうしたなか、どうすれば安定の要である米軍をアジアにつなぎとめられるか。日本としても真剣に考えるときにきている。

 パネッタ前中央情報局(CIA)長官が新しい米国防長官に就いた。必ずしも国防一筋の専門家ではない同氏が抜てきされたのは、行政管理の能力を買われてのことだ。軍の効率を高め、国防予算の削減を果たすことが大きな使命とされる。

 そこで気がかりなのは国防予算を削ろうとするあまり、米軍のアジア関与まで弱まらないかということだ。オバマ大統領は2023会計年度までに国防予算を計4千億ドル(約32兆円)削るのが目標という。

 しかし、中国の活発な進出を受けて、南シナ海や東シナ海では海洋権益をめぐる緊張が高まっている。最終的にアジアで安定を保障できるのは米軍をおいてほかにない。

 日本や他のアジア諸国はアジアの海や朝鮮半島の安定を保つため、米軍がこれからもアジアに深く関与するよう働きかける必要がある。

 むろん、米側に陳情するだけでは十分とはいえまい。米軍のアジア関与が息切れしないよう、日本にもやるべきことがたくさんある。

 その一つは自衛隊が大量に持っているP3C哨戒機を使い、周辺海域での米軍による偵察や警戒、情報収集といった活動を肩代わりすることだ。これにより、米軍は他の分野に力を振り向けやすくなる。

 すでにある日米豪や日米韓、日米インドといった連携の枠組みを生かすことも一案だ。これらに東南アジアの国々も加えた共同訓練や演習を増やせば、米軍はより軽い負担でアジアでの存在感を高められる。

 米予算の削減は、日米の懸案である米軍普天間基地の移設問題にも影を落とす。米議会には現行の移設案の見直し論が出ている。これとセットになっている在沖海兵隊のグアム移転の経費が大きく膨らみかねないためだ。

 現行案が白紙になれば、普天間基地の固定化が現実味をおびる。パネッタ氏が米議会の主張に押されないようにするためにも、日本は移設への進展を急がなければならない。